Prediction ideas
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Holders, listings, launches, business growth and more. These examples start as private drafts. They cannot publish automatically until the exact source and rules are connected.
Price Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will SOL trade above $300 before December 31?
- Will BTC reach $200,000 before January 1?
- Will ETH fall below $2,500 before reaching $6,000?
Market Cap
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will SOL exceed a $500B market cap?
- Will PUMP exceed $10B market cap?
- Will Token X reach $1B before November?
Fully Diluted Valuation
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X reach $20B FDV?
- Will Project X's FDV fall below $5B?
- Will Token A have a higher FDV than Token B on Dec 31?
Circulating Supply
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will circulating SOL exceed X by December 31?
- Will Token X circulating supply increase by more than 15% this quarter?
- Will circulating supply exceed 50% of max supply?
Token Unlocks
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will more than $500M of Token X unlock before Dec 31?
- Will Team X delay its scheduled unlock?
- Will circulating supply increase >10% after the next unlock?
Burns
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Ethereum burn more than X ETH this month?
- Will Token X burn >1% of supply this quarter?
- Will Project X conduct a token burn before Dec 31?
Emissions / Inflation
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Token X annualized inflation fall below 5%?
- Will protocol emissions exceed $100M this quarter?
- Will net token issuance be negative this month?
Holders
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Token X reach 100,000 holders?
- Will Token X reach 1M holders?
- Will holder count grow >20% this month?
Whale Activity
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will the largest non-team whale sell >25% of its holdings this month?
- Will wallets holding >1M SOL collectively increase holdings this week?
- Will exchange-bound whale transfers exceed $500M today?
Spot Trading Volume
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will SOL spot volume exceed $10B in 24 hours?
- Will Token X average >$500M daily volume this month?
- Will Token A have higher weekly trading volume than Token B?
DEX Volume
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana exceed Ethereum in monthly DEX volume?
- Will Solana DEX volume exceed $100B this month?
- Will Base exceed Arbitrum in weekly DEX volume?
Perpetual / Derivatives Volume
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Hyperliquid exceed $X monthly perp volume?
- Will Hyperliquid exceed Binance on a defined metric/date?
- Will decentralized perpetual volume exceed centralized perpetual volume by X date?
Open Interest
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will BTC open interest exceed $X?
- Will Hyperliquid open interest exceed $20B?
- Will SOL open interest reach a record high?
Funding Rates
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will BTC funding remain positive for seven consecutive days?
- Will SOL annualized funding exceed X%?
- Will funding turn negative before BTC reaches $X?
Liquidations
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will crypto liquidations exceed $1B in a single 24-hour period this month?
- Will BTC long liquidations exceed $500M today?
- Will total liquidations exceed $5B this quarter?
TVL
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana TVL exceed $20B?
- Will Base TVL exceed $10B?
- Will Protocol X reach $1B TVL?
Net Flows / TVL Flows
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana receive >$1B net TVL inflows this month?
- Will Project X experience positive net deposits this week?
- Will more capital flow into Base than Solana this month?
Protocol Fees
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Pump.fun generate >$10M fees this month?
- Will Uniswap generate >$X weekly fees?
- Will Protocol X fees exceed Protocol Y?
Protocol Revenue
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Pump.fun protocol revenue exceed $100M this quarter?
- Will Hyperliquid generate >$X protocol revenue?
- Will Protocol X annualized revenue exceed $1B?
Token-holder Revenue
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Token X holders receive >$50M of protocol distributions this quarter?
- Will Project X turn on fee sharing before year-end?
- Will Token X's holder revenue exceed Project Y?
Buybacks
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X buy back >$25M of tokens this quarter?
- Will buybacks exceed token emissions?
- Will protocol buybacks exceed $100M annualized?
Stablecoin Supply
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana stablecoin supply exceed $20B?
- Will USDC surpass USDT in circulating supply?
- Will stablecoins on Base exceed $10B?
Stablecoin Flows
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana gain >$2B net stablecoin inflows this month?
- Will Base gain more USDC than Solana?
- Will Ethereum experience negative stablecoin flows this month?
Active Addresses
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana exceed 10M weekly active addresses?
- Will Base surpass Solana in daily active addresses?
- Will Protocol X reach 500K monthly active wallets?
New Addresses
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana create >10M new addresses this month?
- Will Base add more new wallets than Arbitrum?
- Will Project X onboard >100K new wallets?
Transaction Count
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana process >100M transactions this week?
- Will Base exceed Ethereum L1 transaction count this month?
- Which chain executes the most transactions in October?
Tps / Throughput
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Chain X sustain >X real TPS over a defined interval?
- Will Solana reach X non-vote TPS?
- Will Chain A outperform Chain B in average throughput this week?
Gas / Transaction Fees
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Ethereum median gas fall below X gwei this week?
- Will average ETH transaction cost exceed $20?
- Will Base generate >$X in sequencer fees?
Bridge Volume
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will >$1B bridge into Solana this month?
- Will Base have more bridge inflows than Arbitrum?
- Will net bridge flow into Chain X remain positive this month?
Bridge Market Share
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Bridge X process >20% of cross-chain volume?
- Will Wormhole exceed LayerZero in monthly bridge activity?
- Will a protocol reach $10B monthly bridge volume?
Staking
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will >70% of SOL supply be staked?
- Will Ethereum staking exceed 40M ETH?
- Will Token X staking participation exceed 50%?
Validators
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana exceed X active validators?
- Will Ethereum active validators exceed 1.5M?
- Will Chain X lose >10% of validators?
Validator Performance
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will chain uptime remain above 99.9% this month?
- Will validator missed-slot rate exceed X?
- Will Chain X experience a halt lasting >30 minutes?
Chain Uptime / Outages
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana experience a network outage >30 minutes this quarter?
- Will Chain X achieve 99.99% uptime this month?
- Will an L2 sequencer be offline >1 hour?
Block Production
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Chain X miss more than X blocks this week?
- Will average block time remain below X?
- Will finality exceed X seconds during any defined interval?
Network Upgrades
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Ethereum upgrade X reach mainnet before Dec 31?
- Will Firedancer launch on Solana mainnet before X?
- Will >25% of Solana validators adopt Firedancer by X?
Mainnet / Testnet Launches
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X launch mainnet before November?
- Will Project Y launch its testnet before Project Z?
- Which project launches first?
Product Launches
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Coinbase launch product X by Dec 31?
- Will Phantom launch feature X?
- Will Pump.fun launch another product this year?
Roadmap Delivery
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- “Feature X ships this quarter.”
- Will Project X ship Feature X to public production by Dec 31?
Exchange Listings
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Token X be listed on Coinbase before Dec 31?
- Will Token X be listed on Binance?
- Binance or Coinbase: which lists Token X first?
Exchange Delistings
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Exchange X delist Token Y this year?
- Will Token X remain listed on Binance through year-end?
- Will more than three major exchanges delist Project X?
Exchange Flows
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will >50K BTC enter exchange wallets this week?
- Will exchange BTC balances fall to a new yearly low?
- Will ETH net exchange flows be negative this month?
Exchange Reserves
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will BTC held on exchanges fall below X?
- Will Exchange X's publicly tracked reserves exceed $Y?
- Will stablecoin reserves on exchanges exceed X?
Etf Flows
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will spot BTC ETFs receive >$1B net inflows this week?
- Will BTC ETF inflows exceed ETH ETF inflows this month?
- Will any BTC ETF experience >$1B daily inflows?
Etf / Regulatory Events
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will a Solana ETF receive approval before Dec 31?
- Will ETF X begin trading before Y date?
- Will an XRP ETF be approved this year?
Governance Proposals
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Proposal 123 pass?
- Will governance proposal X reach quorum?
- Will Proposal X receive >60% YES?
Governance Participation
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will >20% of eligible voting power participate?
- Will Proposal X become the DAO's highest-turnout vote?
- Will whale A vote YES?
Treasury Size
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will DAO X treasury exceed $1B?
- Will Project X treasury fall below $100M?
- Will treasury stablecoin holdings exceed X?
Treasury Transactions
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Foundation X transfer >$100M to exchanges this month?
- Will treasury fund proposal X?
- Will Project X buy BTC for its treasury?
Fundraising
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X announce a funding round before Dec 31?
- Will announced funding exceed $100M?
- Will Project X raise at >$1B valuation?
Token Launches / Tges
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X launch its token before Dec 31?
- Which launches first: Project X or Project Y?
- Will Token X launch above $1B FDV?
Airdrops
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X announce an airdrop this year?
- Will airdrop claims exceed $500M?
- Will >500K wallets claim the airdrop?
Token Distribution
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will insiders own less than X% after TGE?
- Will community allocation exceed X%?
- Will top 100 holders own less than 40% after 30 days?
Memecoin Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Meme Token X reach $1B market cap?
- Will Token X reach 100K holders?
- Will Token X get listed on Binance?
Launchpad Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Pump.fun launch >50K tokens this week?
- Will Pump.fun generate >$X monthly revenue?
- Will Launchpad A produce more graduating tokens than Launchpad B?
Bonding-curve / Graduation Events
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Token X graduate its bonding curve within 24 hours?
- Will >10% of today's launches graduate?
- Will Token X graduate before Token Y?
Nft Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will CryptoPunks floor exceed 100 ETH?
- Will Collection X weekly volume exceed $10M?
- Will Collection X flip Collection Y's floor?
Nft Floor / Sales
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will an NFT from Collection X sell for >$1M this month?
- Will floor price fall below X?
- Will monthly sales exceed X?
Defi Lending
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Aave deposits exceed $50B?
- Will Protocol X borrowing exceed $10B?
- Will stablecoin borrowing rates exceed X?
Borrowing / Interest Rates
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will USDC borrow APR on Aave exceed 10%?
- Will average stablecoin lending yield fall below 5%?
- Will protocol utilization exceed 90%?
Liquid Staking
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Lido maintain >25% share of staked ETH?
- Will Protocol X reach 1M staked ETH?
- Will liquid staking token X lose its peg by >1%?
Peg Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will USDT trade below $0.98 this year?
- Will Stablecoin X lose its $1 peg by more than 5%?
- Will tokenized BTC product X trade >2% away from BTC?
Depeg Duration
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Stablecoin X remain below $0.99 for >24 hours?
- Will it recover before $0.95?
- Which stablecoin depegs first this quarter?
Protocol Security
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Protocol X suffer an exploit >$10M this year?
- Will DeFi exploit losses exceed $1B this quarter?
- Will a bridge exploit exceed $100M this year?
Hack / Exploit Recovery
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will >50% of stolen funds be recovered?
- Will exploiter return funds?
- Will Protocol X fully reimburse users?
Bug Bounties
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Protocol X pay a >$1M bug bounty this year?
- Will disclosed bounty payouts exceed X?
Oracle Events
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Oracle X experience >X minutes of downtime?
- Will oracle price deviate >Y% from reference?
- Will Protocol X switch oracle providers this year?
Bridge / Cross-chain Security
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Bridge X suffer downtime >1 hour?
- Will Bridge X process >$10B this month?
- Will Bridge X lose >$X from an exploit?
Decentralization Metrics
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will top 3 validators fall below 33% combined stake?
- Will Nakamoto coefficient exceed X?
- Will the number of independent operators exceed Y?
Developer Activity
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X exceed Y monthly active developers?
- Will Solana have more active developers than Ethereum in month X?
- Will GitHub repository X exceed Y contributors?
Github / Code Shipments
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will release v2 ship before Dec 1?
- Will repository X tag a stable release this quarter?
- Will mainnet code merge before date Y?
Social Growth
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X reach 1M X followers?
- Will founder X reach 500K followers?
- Will Discord membership exceed X?
Search / Attention Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will search interest for Solana exceed Bitcoin during week X?
- Will Project X become the most searched crypto project this month?
App / Product Usage
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Phantom reach X monthly active users?
- Will Coinbase app enter the top 10 Finance apps?
- Will wallet X exceed wallet Y in active users?
Unique Traders
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Pump.fun exceed 1M monthly traders?
- Will DEX X exceed 500K weekly unique traders?
- Will Protocol A have more unique traders than Protocol B?
New Users
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X acquire >100K new users in October?
- Which wallet adds the most new users this quarter?
Retention
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will 30-day wallet retention exceed 25%?
- Will >50% of first-week users return next month?
Market Share
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana exceed 50% of non-Ethereum DEX volume?
- Will USDC exceed 40% stablecoin supply share?
- Will Exchange X capture >20% of spot volume?
Ranking Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Which chain ranks #1 in monthly DEX volume?
- Will Solana remain top 3 by market cap?
- Will Project X become a top-five protocol by fees?
First-to Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- BTC $200K or ETH $10K: which happens first?
- SOL $500 or $100B monthly DEX volume?
- Project X reaches $1B TVL or $5B FDV first?
A-vs-b Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- SOL vs ETH: higher monthly return?
- Solana vs Ethereum: more DEX volume?
- Base vs Arbitrum: more active users?
Crossover Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana monthly DEX volume surpass Ethereum?
- Will Base TVL surpass Arbitrum?
- Will Protocol X revenue surpass Protocol Y?
Multi-entity Race Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
Choose a project, a measurable outcome and a deadline.
Draft a multi-entity race markets questionTime-to-milestone Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- When will SOL reach $500?
- When will Project X reach $1B TVL?
Exact Range Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Where will BTC finish the year?
Conditional Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- If BTC exceeds $200K, will ETH exceed $10K within 30 days?
- If Solana ETF is approved, will SOL rise >20% within seven days?
- If Token X gets listed on Binance, will it exceed $5B market cap within seven days?
Event → Consequence Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
Choose a project, a measurable outcome and a deadline.
Draft a event → consequence markets questionFounder Claim Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- We'll reach $1B TVL by December.
- Will Project X TVL reach $1B before Dec 31?
Roadmap Claims
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- “Mainnet in Q4.”
- “10 million users this year.”
- “100K TPS.”
Analyst / Trader Claims
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Trader says BTC $250K.
- VC says SOL flips ETH.
- Researcher says stablecoin supply reaches $500B.
Company / Exchange Claims
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Coinbase announces product X by date Y.
- Kraken launches chain/product X.
- Circle completes milestone X.
Community Belief Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
Choose a project, a measurable outcome and a deadline.
Draft a community belief markets questionCrowd Vs Money
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
Choose a project, a measurable outcome and a deadline.
Draft a crowd vs money questionHolders Vs Money
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- SOL holders: 91%
- Market: 54%
- Token X holders: 88%
Founder Vs Money
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Founder: **95%**
- Money: **22%**
Experts Vs Money
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- AI founders: 78%
- Market: 39%
- Solana developers: 81%
Whales Vs Retail
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Whales: 35%
- Retail: 72%
Smart-money Cohort Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Top 1% FIRM forecasters: 28%
- Everyone else: 71%
Creator Audience Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- BTC $250K.
Claim Track-record Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- @X is 12-3 on Solana predictions.
- @X's 90% predictions resolve YES 57% of the time.
“can They Do It?” Entity Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- $1B TVL?
- $5B market cap?
- 1M holders?
Entity Comparison Pages
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
Choose a project, a measurable outcome and a deadline.
Draft a entity comparison pages questionAuto-generated Threshold Ladders
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- SOL > $300?
- SOL > $250?
- SOL > $300?
Time Ladder Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- SOL $500 by Oct 31?
- by Dec 31?
- by Mar 31?
Relative Growth
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana TVL grow faster than Ethereum TVL this quarter?
- Will Base active users grow faster than Solana?
- Will Protocol X revenue growth exceed Protocol Y?
% Change Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Pump.fun revenue increase >25% next month?
- Will SOL TVL fall >20% this quarter?
- Will stablecoin supply grow >10%?
Record Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Bitcoin make a new ATH this month?
- Will Solana set a monthly DEX-volume record?
- Will Pump.fun set a monthly revenue record?
Streak Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will BTC close green seven consecutive days?
- Will Solana remain #1 in DEX volume for four consecutive weeks?
- Will Protocol X remain above $1B TVL for 30 days?
Deadline / Shipping Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will X ship by the date promised?
- Will the roadmap milestone be completed on schedule?
- Will mainnet launch before announced deadline?
Announcement Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Project X announce a token?
- Will Company X announce an acquisition?
- Will Exchange X announce listing Y?
Acquisition / Partnership Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Company A acquire Company B?
- Will Project X announce a partnership with Y?
- Will Exchange X acquire a wallet/protocol this year?
Fund / Treasury Purchases
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Strategy acquire another 10K BTC this quarter?
- Will Company X add BTC to its treasury?
- Will ETF holdings exceed X BTC?
Mining / Hashrate
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Bitcoin hashrate exceed X EH/s?
- Will mining difficulty reach a new ATH?
- Will miner reserves fall below X BTC?
Miner Economics
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will miner revenue exceed $X this month?
- Will transaction fees exceed 20% of miner revenue on any day?
- Will miner selling exceed X BTC?
L2 Economics
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Base generate >$X sequencer revenue?
- Will L2 X post >Y blobs?
- Will Base exceed Arbitrum in TVL?
Data Availability / Blob Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Ethereum blobs reach average utilization X?
- Will blob fees exceed X?
- Will rollup X consume the most blob space this month?
Mev Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Solana MEV tips exceed $X this month?
- Will protocol X generate >$Y MEV-related revenue?
Rwa Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will tokenized Treasury assets exceed $20B?
- Will tokenized equities reach $X TVL?
- Will protocol X become largest RWA platform?
Prediction-market Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Polymarket monthly volume exceed $X?
- Will FIRM exceed competitor X in monthly volume?
- Which prediction platform has more active traders?
Market-creation Meta Markets
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Which topic generates the most prediction volume this week?
- Will markets about Project X exceed $1M volume?
- Will this claim reach 10K predictors?
Business Revenue
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Example Company reach $25,000 in monthly recurring revenue by the deadline?
Paying Customers
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Example Company reach 1,000 paying customers by the deadline?
Product Users
Draft only for these examples. No live question is created.
- Will Example App reach 10,000 monthly active users by the deadline?
Publish a question, record your YES or NO, then share your forecast card or challenge a friend. When it resolves, share the receipt and make your next call.
Start with your own words or a public post