Will Nimbus Notes pass 50,000 App Store downloads by November 7?
Market price
Chance of YES right now
58%YES 58¢ · NO 42¢PAYS $1 PER WINNING SHARE
YES 58%NO 42%
Company metric and evidence
App Store downloads
31,400of 50,000 target63% OF THE WAY
SourceSynthetic demonstration ledger
Last readSeptember 23, 2026
ResolvesNovember 7, 2026
EvidenceOpen the source ↗
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Actions this market allows
Demo market only. Credits and positions have no cash, token, security, or onchain value.
Resolution rules
What wins, exactly
- YES resolves if
- Demo download counter reads at least 50,000 before the cutoff.
- NO resolves if
- The app store downloads read from the source does not satisfy the YES condition at November 7, 2026.
- Primary evidence
- Synthetic demonstration ledger. No live company result is asserted.
- Source failure
- The named metric source is unavailable through the observation window.
- Void condition
- The company or source definition changes so materially that the stated metric is no longer comparable. A deterministic result cannot be produced from the published rule.
- Dispute window
- 24 hours after the preliminary result, evidence public.
- Participant influence
- Demo market only. Credits and positions have no cash, token, security, or onchain value.
DEMO CREDITS BET$0no cash value
LIQUIDITY$200bounded subsidy
BETTORS0with open shares
CLOSESNov 7then the source is read
Review and resolution
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