Will Kestrel Security close $250,000 in annual contracts by December 15?
Market price
Chance of YES right now
38%YES 38¢ · NO 62¢PAYS $1 PER WINNING SHARE
YES 38%NO 62%
Company metric and evidence
Annual contract value signed
$140Kof $250K target56% OF THE WAY
SourceSynthetic demonstration ledger
Last readSeptember 23, 2026
ResolvesDecember 15, 2026
EvidenceOpen the source ↗
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Actions this market allows
Demo market only. Credits and positions have no cash, token, security, or onchain value.
Resolution rules
What wins, exactly
- YES resolves if
- Demo contract ledger shows at least $250,000 in signed annual contract value before the cutoff.
- NO resolves if
- The annual contract value signed read from the source does not satisfy the YES condition at December 15, 2026.
- Primary evidence
- Synthetic demonstration ledger. No live company result is asserted.
- Source failure
- The named metric source is unavailable through the observation window.
- Void condition
- The company or source definition changes so materially that the stated metric is no longer comparable. A deterministic result cannot be produced from the published rule.
- Dispute window
- 24 hours after the preliminary result, evidence public.
- Participant influence
- Demo market only. Credits and positions have no cash, token, security, or onchain value.
DEMO CREDITS BET$0no cash value
LIQUIDITY$200bounded subsidy
BETTORS0with open shares
CLOSESDec 15then the source is read
Review and resolution
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